Last month’s Metro Vancouver home sales stayed below 10-year seasonal averages, according to the Greater Vancouver Realtors (GVR). The region’s residential sales totalled 1,904, marking a 17.1 per cent decline from the 2,296 sales the year before and 26 per cent less than the 10-year seasonal average (2,572).

“From a seasonal perspective, August is typically a slower month for sales than June or July. In this respect, this August has been no different,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics explains. “With that said, sales remain in a holding pattern, trending roughly 20 per cent below their 10-year seasonal average, which suggests buyers are still feeling the pinch of higher borrowing costs, despite two recent quarter percentage point reductions to the policy rate this summer.” 

Buyers’ hesitancy + new listing activity result in accumulated inventory & balanced market conditions

4,109 new listings for detached, attached and apartment properties were on Metro Vancouver’s MLS in August, a 4.2 per cent increase from the 3,943 properties listed the year before. Despite the increase, the total was 1.7 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (4,179).

The total number of properties listed for sale stands at 13,812, a 37 per cent rise from August 2023’s total of 10,082 and 20.8 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average of 11,432.

For all property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio in August was 14.3 per cent. By category, it was 9.6 per cent for detached homes, 18 per cent for attached homes and 17.2 per cent for apartments.

“Buyers’ hesitancy to enter the market, paired with new listing activity on the part of sellers that is in line with historical averages, has allowed inventory to accumulate for a number of months and has moved the market firmly into balanced conditions,” Lis notes.

He says that with the Bank of Canada reducing the policy rate this month by another quarter percentage point, and with September being a time that often sees more seasonal sales, the fall market should bring more buyers off the sidelines.

Where prices landed

The composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver currently sits at $1,195,900, 0.9 per cent less than August 2023 and 0.1 per cent less than July 2024.

By property type, detached home sales reached 509, a 13.9 per cent decline from 591 the year before. Apartment sales totalled 1,012 in August, 20.3 per cent less than the 1,270 sales in August 2023 and attached homes totalled 370 sales last month, 12.3 per cent less than the 422 sales of the prior year.

Review the full report here.

Last week, Greater Vancouver Realtors (GVR) released its 2024 second-half (H2) housing forecast, which reviews new dynamics impacting the market along with economic trends that informed the first half of 2024.

Here are some highlights of what GVR expects for the second half of the year.

Sales and price forecasts

This year, GVR sales and price forecasts are almost exactly on target, but market balance has shifted from favouring sellers at the year’s start towards more balanced conditions.

GVR’s 2024 first-half (H1) forecast predicted that sales across Greater Vancouver would jump by about 8.0 per cent compared to 2023 (28,250 by year-end).

Sales from January to July this year totalled 16,227, with the prediction being 16,256 — a 0.18 per cent difference. GVR is keeping its year-end sales prediction as-is.

So far, aggregate price metrics have shown slight increases as the H1 forecast predicts, driven by steady sales combined with near-record-low inventory levels at 2024’s start. With these levels rising throughout the past few months, most aggregate price metrics are trending sideways or slightly downward.

Yet the median differential between the list price and sale price for all GVR properties has trended at a close to 2.0 per cent discount since the start of the year.

In the near term, GVR’s outlook for the year’s second half is a balanced market that continues to support modest price appreciation by year-end. The organization keeps its outlook of price appreciation in the 1.0-4.0 per cent range across market segments to year-end.

Inventory

As sellers stay keen to list their properties, Greater Vancouver hasn’t seen such inventory level highs since 2019. Compared to 2023 levels, this boost has been the biggest surprise in H1 data.

The main drivers behind this trend are a result of steady demand from buyers along with higher-than-expected new listing activity levels, which isn’t of concern to GVR right now. The sense is that increased inventory might be positive, especially for buyers, as it signals a return to more balanced market conditions.

Though sales are below their 10-year average, they’re not the lowest seen before and this isn’t a new trend. Newly listed properties are meeting or exceeding historical averages, which has resulted in accumulated inventory thanks to below-average sales.

GVR found that many factors have contributed to the new listing activity boost, including the fact that early 2023 had lower-than-normal new listing activity and sellers who waited to sell then are possibly doing so this year.

Interest rate cut impacts

GVR says that while additional reductions to the Bank of Canada’s policy rate are expected this year, it may take longer to see increased buyer demand.

This is suggested by the fact that while the H2 forecast favours another 50-basis point reduction to the policy rate, buyers showed a lack of response to the 50-basis point reduction in H1.

Review the full H2 forecast here.

The Canadian real estate market is a dynamic one, often influenced by several economic factors. With the post-pandemic shift in the market, we’ve witnessed a lot of fluctuation in property prices. As prices have recently increased, this trend may cause potential first-time homebuyers to hesitate when purchasing their home. 

However, when it comes to pre-construction properties, now is actually one of the best opportunities to secure a deal. Let’s walk through some of the key reasons why pre-construction investments remain a smart choice, and how you can strategically help your clients navigate the current market.

Pre-construction pricing dynamics

Best suited for first-time homebuyers, the key fundamental aspect of pre-construction properties is the pricing mechanism. Unlike investing in resale, pre-construction properties are sold at today’s prices but completed and delivered roughly three to four years later. 

What does this mean for your buyers? The price they agree to now does not reflect the final market value at the time of completion. Real estate markets are cyclical, and as history shows, property values are set to appreciate over time. Plus, pre-construction offers a flexible down payment plan best suited for first-time homebuyers. 

Many aspiring buyers are hoping for a further price drop, but by the time their pre-construction property is built, the market is likely to have rebounded, resulting in a property value increase. Essentially, buyers lock in a lower price now for a property that will be worth a lot more in the future. This inherent appreciation potential makes pre-construction properties a lucrative investment.

Helping clients adopt a long-term perspective for real estate

These days, it’s crucial for both buyers and sellers to educate themselves on why the real estate market is all about long-term perspective. The idea is to build and preserve wealth over time. 

For buyers, this means getting used to market fluctuations and understanding that patience is key. The current dip in real estate presents an opportunity to enter the market at a slightly lower cost, instead of expecting prices to go down further and that values will rise by the time their property is ready. Have these important conversations with your clients.

Taking advantage of a buyer’s market

In today’s buyer’s market, agents and brokers have a unique opportunity to guide their clients through uncertainty and position them for long-term success. Here are key strategies that can help professionals in the field increase client confidence and close deals effectively:

1. Strengthen negotiation leverage. As an agent,  the ability to negotiate effectively becomes even more critical in a buyer’s market. Educate buyers and investors on the leverage they have, not just in price but in securing favourable terms like extended deposit schedules, builder incentives or upgrade packages. Emphasize the value of these perks, and use them to craft deals that align with buyers’ long-term objectives.

2. Highlight the importance of capital utilization. In a market where things are changing by the minute and liquidity is king, it’s important to convey to your clients the advantages of putting cash reserves to work in real estate over letting them sit idle in bank accounts.

Highlighting how pre-construction properties offer a unique opportunity for growth where they appreciate over time, it’s important to note that property values are expected to rise over the next few years. Investing now means buyers are set to benefit from future appreciation. The property they invest in today at the current price could be worth significantly more by the time it’s completed, providing substantial returns on their investment. Money in low-interest savings accounts can be worth much less in the future, whereas investing in pre-construction can yield better returns.

3. Role of population growth in demand. With the growth in population around urban centres and the increasing opportunities and improved lifestyle benefits that come with it, the demand for housing is only going to increase.

Population growth means more demand for new homes, pushing property values upwards. While we already witness many developers working towards providing more housing options, the short-term price dip is only here for a while before demand increases again. New construction is finite in desirable areas, but this means it will inevitably lead to higher property prices.

Improving economic conditions also results in a return to consumer confidence and, with that, the demand for real estate is also set to increase. This cyclical recovery will bolster property values.

Seizing the moment

In a buyer’s market, the role of an agent or broker extends beyond merely facilitating transactions. It’s about empowering buyers with the knowledge, strategies and confidence they need to make sound investment decisions.

Real estate is a journey, not a sprint. By thinking long-term and making informed decisions today, your clients can set themselves up for substantial financial gains in the future.

The real estate market in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) is interesting from a younger generation perspective, specifically with the decline of condominium sales and the rise of townhomes/semi-detached/detached home sales.

Condominiums in the past were affordable and the primary purchase of first-time buyers. Their low cost and almost immediate equity return made them enticing for young purchasers. However, this is not as common these days.

Daunting market for first-time buyers results in missed opportunity and risk

As a realtor in the industry, I’ve always aspired to live downtown in a condominium where the waterfront communities are located, but higher interest rates and current sales showing loss of equity and lower prices to entice buyers makes this a huge risk for a first-time buyer. Even with a longer amortization period being offered for new builds granted by the province, it’s daunting for many younger buyers entering the market.

The hidden costs of new builds mean the majority of buyers don’t have the funds to purchase. Therefore, many younger buyers entering the market are opting out of the risk of investing in a condominium and going for a townhome, semi-detached home or even detached home in an affordable community.

This is unfortunate for everyone involved. For one, the buyer can miss out on the experience of living in a vibrant downtown community like Toronto. As well, it raises the risks for builders due to not enough interest and pre-sale purchases to continue construction, potentially leaving construction projects abandoned and “devaluing” neighbourhoods with gaping holes and partially constructed buildings.

Larger homes in affordable areas with future growth similarly priced to downtown condominiums

Buying our first property is the biggest purchase of our lives, so it makes sense for buyers entering the market to be wary of what their return on investment will entail. Builders are seeing the backlash from this, with an influx of condominiums on the market advertised for months with little to no interest due to the risk.

This can force a company to not build its future projects because its target demographic isn’t buying existing inventory. If a young working professional has the chance to buy a townhome, semi-detached or detached home in an affordable area for almost the same price as a downtown condominium with the potential of increasing its future value, picking the latter is an unbeatable decision.

Bidding wars and short-term rentals alienate younger, first-time buyers

The biggest factor in cases of buying a condominium downtown is when it comes to placing an offer and the potential bidding war that ensues. I have friends with the financial means to buy who have attempted to offer on multiple condominiums downtown. They’ve made the cleanest offers with normal conditions to protect themselves, only to be bought out by a “no conditions” firm cash buyer.

Now, it may not be the case for each condominium in the GTA, but in the downtown area alone, many are being bought out by companies with real estate portfolios only looking to add to them and run the unit as a short-term rental. It can be disheartening for anyone who is young and looking to live in the downtown core when there are so many obstacles in the way of achieving that.

There are even condominiums completely run for the purpose of short-term rentals, with the condominium board members themselves profiting. While from an investor perspective there’s nothing wrong with doing this, the flip side of that coin is that it makes it impossible to keep affordable homes for the next generation. Looking ahead, this can mean that sales in the next 10 years may be problematic for those who own homes including condominiums.

This is why many people around my age, in their twenties and thirties — a huge demographic that condominium boards need to consider — are opting out of buying a condominium downtown. It’s what I believe is the biggest reason for declining condominium sales.

An Ontario government call-to-action

There needs to be stricter policy, especially in the downtown core, regarding the use of short-term rentals specifically in Toronto condominiums.

If Ontario follows the route British Columbia took earlier this year in May with the passing of legislation to restrict short-term rentals, it could make a huge difference in buyers’ mentality around condominiums. Most importantly, it would bring more condominiums to market and decrease the current “unsold” units, estimated at nearly 26,000 on the market.

I believe if a policy akin to the one out west was created in Ontario, many buyers would be living in the condominium as opposed to renting it out short-term for the sole reason of profit.

In July, Ottawa’s housing market saw a significant uptick in activity, with 1,241 homes sold through the MLS system, the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) reports. This marks a 13.6 per cent increase from July 2023, signaling a strong month for sales.

However, despite this surge, home sales were still 7.1 per cent below the five-year average and 8.8 per cent below the 10-year average for the month of July. Year-to-date, total home sales reached 8,349 units in July, a 5.5 per cent increase compared to the same period in 2023.

Encouraging market activity but Ottawa needs supply-side action

“As the market pace typically slows in the summer, July’s activity is encouraging and could be a sign of more gains ahead,” says OREB president Curtis Fillier. “Buyer confidence is slowly but surely catching up while sellers continue to add a steady stream of new listings. Of course, the extent to which that translates into transactions depends on the type of properties and price points available in our communities as supply and affordability issues persist.”

“It’s too early to tell, but recent policy developments could be a boost,” says Fillier. “Two consecutive interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada, coupled with the federal government’s introduction of 30-year amortization periods on mortgages for first-time homebuyers purchasing newly built homes, will help some buyers. However, these are demand policies, and Ottawa — as well as many cities across the country — needs action on the supply side.”

Housing supply growth challenges and OREB’s response

The Bank of Canada’s Monetary Policy Report highlighted ongoing challenges in housing supply growth, pointing to municipal zoning restrictions and high development fees as significant barriers. Recent Ontario government data underscores these challenges, showing that Ottawa has built 1,593 homes out of its 12,583 target for 2024.

In response, OREB and its member realtors continue to advocate for solutions to the housing crisis, including allowing four units per lot and reducing high development fees.

Source: OREB

July prices

The overall MLS Home Price Index (HPI) composite benchmark price was $648,900 in July, a slight increase of 0.1 per cent from July 2023.

The benchmark price for single-family homes was $734,700, down 0.1 per cent year-over-year. Townhouse/row units saw a 3.4 per cent increase, with a benchmark price of $506,100. The benchmark apartment price was $422,800, a 0.9 per cent decrease from the previous year.

The average price of homes sold in July 2024 was $679,610, down 2.1 per cent from July 2023. Year-to-date, the average price stood at $681,082, up 1.0 per cent from last year.

July inventory & new listings

July 2024 also saw a 17.1 per cent increase in new residential listings, with 2,231 new listings hitting the market. This figure was 6.3 per cent above the five-year average and 6.9 per cent above the 10-year average for the month of July.

Active residential listings reached 3,480 units by the end of July, marking a 37 per cent increase from the previous year. This inventory level was 50.6 per cent above the five-year average but 2.3 per cent below the 10-year average for July. The months of inventory rose to 2.8 months in July, up from 2.3 months during the same time in 2023.

Review the full report here.

Despite gaining momentum in June, after the Bank of Canada’s rate cut that month, activity in Canada’s housing market paused in July.

Last month, home sales dipped 0.7 per cent on a month-over-month basis, reversing a small portion of June’s post-first rate cut gains. There’s a likelihood of further rate cuts in the next interest rate decision with the pace of future policy likely easing.

Expectations of further policy easing and more rate cuts to come

It’s clear that we may take a while to return to the COVID era when home sales peaked in January 2021 — their highest peak since January 2009, reaching approximately 64,000 sales. Despite the 0.7 per cent drop in sales, there’s a positive side to this as sales remain close to the recorded level from June.

But after the Bank of Canada announced a second rate cut of 4.5 per cent on July 24, there have been growing expectations of further policy easing with markets anticipating additional cuts as we head into fall.

It’s good news that despite the slight dip in July, our actual monthly activity was still 4.8 per cent higher than in July 2023. As well, the number of newly listed properties increased by 0.9 per cent month-over-month with Calgary seeing a notable boost in supply.

The Home Price Index rose by 0.2 per cent from June to July, although prices remained 3.9 per cent lower than in June 2023. The national average sale price was virtually unchanged — dipping just 0.2 per cent year-over-year to $1,667,317.

A balanced market with potential for continued downward price pressure — fall will be oversupplied

Canada’s market is pretty much balanced at this point, steadily at just over four months of inventory and just over 50 per cent sales-to-new-listing ratios. This can result in continued downward pressure on prices.

All of this is correlated to the fact that national new listings inventory continued to climb in July, which is typically considered one of the slowest periods for new listings. Looking ahead into fall, there will be an oversupplied market.

Alberta and Ontario: Stabilized

The biggest price increase was observed in Edmonton and Hamilton-Burlington, whereas Calgary and Toronto both witnessed the largest average price increase, which levelled one another out. This has resulted in Alberta and Ontario stabilizing in terms of the provincial average home sales price trend over the last several months.

Interestingly enough, despite having the biggest decrease in average price, Calgary had the most number of properties listed, which contributed to the increase of 0.9 per cent of the national average. 

Source: Wowa.ca

Keeping an eye on these developments will be critical for understanding what’s in store for the industry this fall and beyond, and for helping us advise our clients well.

A new report from Re/Max Canada reveals that the detached housing market in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), Greater Vancouver and Fraser Valley is being fueled primarily by investors and move-up buyers.

With first-time homebuyers increasingly priced out of these expensive markets, those looking to upgrade or invest in real estate have become the main drivers of sales activity in the first half of 2024.

‘The first (June’s) interest rate cut did little to incentivize buyers, but the second may have struck a nerve’

“While affordability remains the top obstacle for first-time homebuyers, more experienced buyers and investors are taking advantage of softer housing values, making their moves ahead of the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) end to quantitative tightening,” says Re/Max Canada president Christopher Alexander.

“Pent-up demand continues to build, with an estimated 20,000 to 25,000 buyers currently lying in wait in the GTA, and another 5,000 buyers in the Greater Vancouver area ready to pull the trigger. The first interest rate cut in June did little to incentivize buyers, but early indications show the second may have struck a nerve.”

The Re/Max Hot Pocket Communities Report found that nearly 40 per cent of the surveyed markets (33 out of 83) reported an increase in detached home values in the first six months of 2024, while 30 per cent of markets (25 out of 83) saw a rise in the number of sales. This indicates a robust demand for detached homes, even in the face of affordability challenges.

GTA: Sales momentum and price increases

In the GTA, the 416 area code (encompassing Toronto proper) has shown the strongest sales momentum. Just over 34 per cent of neighbourhoods there either remained stable or experienced growth in detached homebuying activity, outpacing the 905 area code as well as Greater Vancouver and Fraser Valley. This resurgence is particularly notable given the region’s challenging real estate landscape, where high prices have kept many first-time buyers on the sidelines.

Specific neighbourhoods in Toronto have seen notable increases in homebuying activity. Areas such as Dufferin Grove, Little Portugal, Trinity-Bellwoods and Rosedale-Moore Park have all reported significant gains in sales.

On the pricing front, the West End of Toronto has led the way with some of the highest increases in detached housing values. For example, neighbourhoods like Kingsway South and High Park North have seen prices rise by over 7.0 per cent to 9.0 per cent compared to last year.

Greater Vancouver and Fraser Valley: Limited inventory drives price appreciation

In British Columbia, limited inventory has been a critical factor supporting price appreciation in the detached home category, particularly in the Fraser Valley, with over 83 per cent of its local markets reporting an increase in average prices. This is followed closely by Greater Vancouver, where over 70 per cent of neighbourhoods have noted rising median values.

Areas such as Squamish, Burnaby and Port Coquitlam have experienced some of the largest price gains, with median home values increasing by as much as 14.2 per cent. Despite the rising prices, demand remains strong, driven by a combination of local buyers and investors looking to capitalize on the region’s long-term growth potential.

Change in investor activity

The report highlights a notable shift in investor behaviour, particularly in the GTA. Disenchanted with the performance of condominiums, many investors are now turning their attention to detached homes, especially on smaller lots in Toronto’s east end.

A recent report by Urbanation and CIBC Economics found that condominium investors who closed on newly completed units in 2023 faced negative cash flow (of nearly $600 per month), which has prompted many to reconsider their investment strategies.

Affordable housing and the first-time buyer dilemma

While the report highlights significant price appreciation in many markets, it also underscores the challenges facing first-time buyers. Affordability remains a significant barrier, particularly in high-demand regions like the GTA and Greater Vancouver. However, there are still pockets of affordability within these markets.

Regions like Durham in the GTA and the Sunshine Coast in Greater Vancouver offer detached homes priced under $1 million, providing opportunities for those looking to enter the housing market.

The report also calls for policy changes to address the affordability crisis. One suggestion is to extend longer amortization periods (up to 30 years) to resale homes, similar to what is currently available for new construction. While it may not be enough, it could help more buyers qualify for mortgages in high-priced markets and provide some relief to the ongoing affordability challenges.

“All boats rise with the tide — once the first-time buyers segment gains greater traction, we should see a ripple effect,” says Alexander. “We’re not there quite yet, but the tide is beginning to turn … The gap is closing amid growing buyer confidence. The only dark cloud on the horizon is the possibility of a U.S. recession given stock market volatility.”

Alexander stresses that being so closely tied to the U.S. economy, Canada is not insulated, and we can expect buyers to “stay tuned to any possible economic headwinds.”

Review the full report, including market overviews, here.

In the Greater Toronto Area’s (GTA) housing market, July 2024 tells a story of resurgence and adjustment. A previously stagnant market is now starting to revive, with home sales increasing by 3.3 per cent, reaching 5,391 transactions compared to last July’s 5,220.

This renewed activity is highlighted by an 18.5 per cent rise in new listings from the previous year, providing prospective buyers with more options. However, the revival also reveals contrasting elements — as supply grows and choices expand, the average selling price sees a slight decline, reflecting the complex dynamics between supply, demand and market pressures.

Across these shifts, the condominium sector presents its own scenario, with rental demand rising but being outpaced by an influx of new listings, resulting in more choices and slightly lower rents for tenants.

Significantly more listings helped boost supply and drop prices

July 2024’s GTA home sales rebounded from a previous stagnation and suggest a gradually recovering market. This increase in sales was matched by a significant rise in new listings with 16,293 in July, representing an 18.5 per cent increase compared to the same time last year. 

Clearly, there is an improved market supply, which helps to keep up with demand as prospective buyers have a much larger array of choices available. 

Source: TRREB

Despite the rise in both sales and new listings last month, the GTA’s average selling price declined by 5.0 per cent year-over-year. Reported at $1,106,617, it marked a 0.9 per cent (over $10,000) decrease from the $1,116,950 recorded in July 2023. The reduction in prices can be attributed to the increased inventory which has helped decrease demand pressure on the housing market.

Source: TRREB

Condominium sales and rentals

With this in mind, the GTA’s condominium market had mixed results. Condominium rentals experienced a substantial increase in Q2 2024 with 17,400 rentals compared to 13,896 rentals in Q2 2023. This was a 25.2 per cent increase, but the number of new condominium rental listings rose even more significantly, up by 51.3 per cent year-over-year. 

Source: TRREB

Despite the higher demand for rental accommodations, tenants have benefited from increased choice and slightly lower average rents. On average, a one-bedroom condominium apartment in Q2 2024 rented for $2,452, reflecting a 3.1 per cent decline from the $2,529 average rent in Q2 2023. Similarly, the average rent for a two-bedroom condominium was down by 1.9 per cent to $3,178 from $3,239 in the previous year.

Although there was a substantial increase in condominium rentals, condominium sales dropped to 5,474 in Q2 2024 from 6,824 in Q2 2023, a 19.8 per cent decrease. In contrast, the number of new listings surged by 36.5 per cent year-over-year, reaching 16,917. The average selling price of condominium apartments in Q2 2024 was $729,005 a slight drop from $737,925 at the same time in 2023.

Source: TRREB

Toronto reported a 0.5 per cent decrease in its average selling price of $765,963, while Durham has one of the GTA’s lowest condominium sales and lowest average prices in Q2 2024.

As we look at the GTA’s housing market for mid-2024, the combination of rising transactions and falling prices reflects a market in transition. A 3.3 per cent increase in home sales alongside a 5.0 per cent decrease in average prices highlights the balance between growing supply and moderated demand.

In the condominium sector, we’re seeing a similar trend — a significant rise in rentals contrasting with declining sales and a notable increase in new listings. This evolving market presents both opportunities and challenges, indicating that while recovery is underway, the future will be complex and multifaceted. Our 2024 housing market is more than just numbers; it illustrates the dynamic interaction of economic forces, buyer sentiment, and strategic adjustments.

Last month, 804 homes were sold in the Hamilton-Burlington area via MLS, the Cornerstone Association of Realtors (CAR) reports.

This contributed to a year-to-date decline of six per cent. Although year-to-date sales declined across the Hamilton-Burlington market area, July’s Niagara North levels were comparable to the same time last year. 

Third consecutive year of sales below long-term trends 

“This marks the third consecutive year that sales have remained below long-term trends. At the same time, we are experiencing a gain in new listings. While rates are slowly coming down, for some existing owners the prospect of higher renewal rates is enough to cause them to list their properties, driving up supply levels,” says Nicolas von Bredow, Cornerstone spokesperson for the Hamilton-Burlington market area.

New listings in July rose relative to sales, lowering the sales-to-new-listings ratio to 42 per cent. Inventory levels are similar to last month and higher than last year, while months-of-supply surpassed four months (which has not happened in July since 2010).

More supply brings more choice and lower prices

More supply offers buyers more choice and continues to place downward pressure on home prices, with the unadjusted benchmark price at $843,500, almost one per cent lower than in June and three per cent lower than in July 2023.

Although prices are below the 2022 peak, they’re still higher than pre-pandemic levels and year-to-date average benchmark prices are just slightly lower than last year.

Review the full report for more information, and see other CAR market stats here.

Last month, new listings on Metro Vancouver’s MLS rose about 20 per cent year-over-year, resulting in a healthy level of inventory, Greater Vancouver Realtors (GVR) reports. At the same time, residential sales totalled 2,333, which was 5.0 per cent less than the same time last year and nearly 18 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average.

‘It’s a bit surprising transaction levels remain below historical norms as we enter the midpoint of summer’

“The trend of buyers remaining hesitant, that began a few months ago, continued in the July data despite a fresh quarter percentage point cut to the Bank of Canada’s policy rate,” Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics notes.

“With the recent half percentage point decline in the policy rate over the past few months, and with so much inventory to choose from, it’s a bit surprising transaction levels remain below historical norms as we enter the midpoint of summer.”

Balanced conditions, healthy inventory, still early days

In July, Metro Vancouver saw 14,326 total number of properties listed for sale, a 39.1 per cent increase compared to July 2023 and 21.5 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average.

Sales-to-active listings across all property types were 16.9 per cent (12.8 per cent for detached homes, 20.1 per cent for attached homes and 19.3 per cent for apartment homes).

“With the overall market experiencing balanced conditions, and with a healthy level of inventory not seen in quite a few years, price trends across all segments have levelled out with very modest declines occurring month over month,” Lis says.

“While it remains to be seen whether softening prices and improved borrowing costs will entice buyers to purchase as we head into the fall market, it’s worth noting that it can take a few months for improvements to borrowing costs to materialize into higher transaction levels.”

Lis adds it’s still early days so they’ll watch the market for signs of increasing transaction activity in the upcoming months.

Sales and prices

Currently, the MLS Home Price Index composite benchmark price for residential properties in Metro Vancouver is $1,197,700, a 0.8 per cent decrease over July 2023 and a 0.8 per cent decrease over June 2024. 

Detached home sales last month reached 688, a 1.0 per cent increase compared to July 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is $2,049,000, 2.1 per cent higher than July 2023 and 0.6 per cent less than June 2024. 

Apartment home sales last month reached 1,192, a 6.9 per cent decrease compared to July 2023. The benchmark price for an apartment home is $768,200, 0.3 per cent less than July 2023 and 0.7 per cent less than June 2024. 

Attached home sales last month reached 437, a 6.2 per cent decrease compared to July 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,124,700, 1.4 per cent more than July 2023 and 1.2 per cent less than June 2024. 

Review the full report here.